Mobile Ministry Magazine (MMM)

Posts Tagged ‘stats’

Nice Set of Mobile Metrics/Stats from TNS Global, Learn the Present While Crafting the Future

Monday, May 7th, 2012

Woke up this morning to see many in the mobile tech world talking about this set of survey results (metrics and stats) from the folks at TNS Global.

What’s best to note about this data is the size and depth of it. There’s not just the usual “how many people could or do” but there’s some inspection into some of the trends of usage that can lead to some future applications. I like how Tomi Ahonen broke this down across some of the major trends, and where the financial opportunities lie for some of the lesser explored areas of mobile. In the near future, its those spaces in which the best prospects for disruptive growth will happen.

Now, I know that for some, it might be a bit far reaching to go beyond the present mobile/connected tech as a means to move the needle forward, but that’s just what we have to do. As I commented on this piece at Church Relevance, mobile apps isn’t the future for how engagement happens, its the now. What you do in the future is going to be in part determined to how you look at the now.

If you want our opinions towards how you should take data like this from TNS and build towards the future, it would simply look like this:

create the spaces where people want to engage their faith as if they were a craftsman: build the tools, create the sandboxes, and lessen the control grips.

There’s nothing too difficult about that. But, identifying the opportunity is why this data is needed.

 

Two Looks at the Context/Term ‘Advanced Mobile’

Friday, January 6th, 2012

Bubble_Chart_Top10_LargestTAMs, FlurryInitially, this post mentioned just the research and rankings by Tomi Ahonen; a later publication granted similar context with similar and different conclusions which combined with Ahonen’s insights grants considerable understanding towards current and future contexts of mobile on country levels. Therefore both of these are presented in a single post for relevance and compaative analysis.

Tomi Ahonen’s Ranking of Most Advanced Mobile Markets (by Country)
Tomi Ahonen (by virtue of his consultancy) tends to have all kinds of information which offer some measure of contextual relevance towards understanding mobile perspectices and trends. One of those that tends to cause all kinds of neat conversation has to do with his ranking of countries towards how advanced they are. He’s done this tanking for a few years (within his publications) and now offers this ranking again. Its not the most perfect (see the methodology quoted after the numbers, but should offer clear enough reasoning why approaching mobile from a “let’s evangelize the whole world at once approach” isn’t the best strategy.

Here’s his ranking (reformatted in a cleaner table layout):

Rank (2010) Country Index (%)
1 (1) Japan 91
2 (2) South Korea 89
3 (6T) Singapore 84
4 (3) Italy 83
5 (6T) Finland 82
6T (9) Sweden 81
6T (4T) Taiwan 81
8 (4T) Austria 80
9 (14) Hong Kong 79
10 (10T) Australia 78
11 (8) Israel 77
12 (10T) UK 76
13T (16T) Denmark 75
13T (15) Norway 75
13T (12) Spain 75
16 (22) UAE 73
17 (19) USA 72
18 (13) Ireland 71
19 (18) Netherlands 70
20 (16T) Germany 69

…This index is as far as I know, the only international comparative table that uses all the major metrics for the industry as inputs – ie I use the mobile phone penetration rate per capita, the migration rate to 3G networks, the adoption ie usage of mobile data (which typically is the adoption rate of SMS text messaging in most markets) and the measure of how advanced the handsets are in that country (which in most cases is the adoption rate of smartphones)…

*Emphasis ours

Read the rest of Tomi’s 2011 Mobile Phone Index Ranking posting.

Flurry’s Analysis of the Installed Base of Users for iOS and Android Devices
One of the most popular (and heard) metrics for ascertaining the relevance of mobile is to take a look at sales and activations numbers. And certainly these do have some redeeming value when looking at the “right now” action that is happening with mobile. However, concentrating on sales and activations misses the most signifiant statistic – how many devices are being used right now? And if there is only a percentage of those total sales or activations being used, what others kinds of information does this installed base give us that might better allow us to see the actual use of mobile, and the opportunities which might lie for mobile/mobile ministry endeavors?

The largest take on installed base research that I’ve seen to date seems to be this work compiled and recently published by Flurry.

Flurry validates their research by using several data points, most of which are available publically, and then cross-linking that against their metrics gained from the 140,000 applications which utilize their analytics software/services. Here’s a snippet of their report:

…Because this chart measures future potential, TAMs are much larger relative to active user bases.  The result, visually, is a lot more “light blue.”  Many of the world’s largest countries have largely un-penetrated markets, primarily due to standards of living (emerging markets) or increased competition for consumers’ disposable income (developed markets).  In either case, the TAM is there, but the adoption hasn’t yet occurred.  So, many of these markets are future bets with the time of maturity somewhat variable and unknown.  In this chart, the U.S. has both the largest current installed base and market upside.  Again, this is because of its unique, well-penetrated and large, affluent population.  Next China, given its very large population (1.3 billion), along with a growing middle class who has already begun adopting smart devices, has the world’s second largest market potential.  In comparison, even though India has the world’s second largest population (1.2 billion), its TAM is much smaller than China’s because of India’s very low standard of living.  The result is that, even though its total population is not far behind China’s, its total addressable market is.  Further, the adoption of smartphones and tablets among its TAM has been small.  Finally, Japan, the world’s fourth largest market, has a lot of upside given light penetration of iOS and Anroid devices against its large, addressable market..

Read the entire iOS/Android Installed Base report from Flurry

Takeaways/Conclusions
We titled this post Two Looks at the Context/Term ‘Advanced Mobile’ because the phrase finds itself often within conversations about mobile/mobile ministry. Being advanced is indeed one part functionality (Ahonen) and another part current/analyized use (Flurry). Aiming devices, services, and experiences to a mobile goal means that you have to keep in mind not just the trends (Ahonen) but also what’s happening that’s addressable. Aiming for smartphone users in the US makes sense because of the shape and prospects of the market. Using the same approach in Angola might not be a good bet. The context of what’s advanced mobility there or elsewhere has to seen in light of what’s actually happening.

Given the information above, shaping your mobile strategy for 2012 and beyond should be a good bit clearer.

 

IBM’s 5 in 5 and Future Technological Disruptions Effecting Mobile Ministry

Wednesday, December 28th, 2011

It is that time of the year when predictions, resolutions, and trends-spotting makes the headline news. At the time of writing, I’m not sure that we’ll do too much (more) prophecying about mobile in ministry, but we will jump in with some of those putting forth some credible commentary towards activities, challenges, and advancements to come.

In this set of predictions, IBM looks at some technologies which are (definitely in development/testing now) which may play major roles in a majority of areas of society as we move foward in the next five years. This series, 5 in 5 has been done previously, and certainly deserves a look backward to see how accurate these proponents of a smarter planet have been in their views:

View all of the 5 in 5 videos on the IBM YouTube Channel

There are five aspects of technological/cultural change being talked about with 5 in 5:

  • Energy: People power will come to life
  • Security: You will never need a password again
  • Mind reading: Not just science fiction any more
  • Analytics: Junk mail will become priority mail
  • Access: Mobile is closing the Digital Divide

Read about these through the press release and blog posts from IBM which explain each of these in detail.

I’ve got my debates about the closing of the digital divide (it does, and then it doesn’t when actual costs are looked at), and think that we are well entrenched towards an analytical-driven future where recommendation engines and security becomes a more accepted norm of being in digital-enhanced spaced. The mind-reading is happening in kit projects now, that part will get fun (especially as AI and adaptive computing models become the norm).

I do wonder about the lack of seeing anything in these in respect to language and literacy, as I do think that we are getting into a time when language is no longer a barrier if connectivity is addressed (real-time, passive, and active translation protocols between service points). That’s just me though. I’m all aboard the energy idea (see my thoughts on kinetic energy for mobile accessories at Nokia’s Ideas Project). We definitely need to ditch the personal dependence on grid energy infrastructure, and make it more economical and environmentally sustainable in industrial applications. These are all addressable tennants of any mobile ministry efforts, and it would be nice to see this alongside other goals for mobile ministry.

What about you? Got thoughts on 5 in 5? You can also join in the global conversation about 5 in 5 via the following channels:

Looking forward to hearing your thoughts, and seeing just how you see internet/mobile ministry efforts going forward around and through these changes.

 

SMS the Most Used Mobile Phone Feature

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

image of MMS from ShutterstockKeeping with yesterday’s meme about SMS (text messaging), we want to highlight some confirmed information care of Tomi Ahonen and his consulting services. I’ll let the work speak for itself:

That changed this week, as we received the brand new Ofcom study of international telecoms markets. They surveyed 5,636 consumers in six major countries on three continents and part of the usage survey were questions ‘do you use SMS on your mobile phone’ and ‘do you use voice calls on your mobile phone’ And for the first time we have solid comparable measurements.

The countries are all in the ‘Industrialized World’ and are Australia, France, Germany, Italy, the UK and the USA. They found SMS usage levels from a low of 64% in the USA to a high of 86% in Australia. They also found voice calls ranging from a low of 68% in Italy to a high of 80% in Germany. The population-weighed average of the six countries gives an average SMS usage level of 71.52% for SMS, vs 71.48% for voice calls. So these percentages are ‘per capita’ and not ‘per subscription’ by which more often SMS usage levels are reported. The actual human consumer ‘per capita’ measurement is more accurate obviously, as it ignores the phenomenon of multiple subscriptions and multiple phones on the same person. And we have massive news! We have JUST passed the tipping point.

First, on the measurement, if you prefer to use the statistic of ‘per subscriber’ rather than ‘per capita’ – then the subcription-weighed numbers are even more strongly in favor of SMS ie 72.4% vs 71.5%…

Read the rest of We Are Hitting Major Milestone: Time to stop calling it ‘mobile PHONE’ at Communities Dominate Brands.

Read the latest Communications Market Report at the Ofcom website.

Such a study should have some profound implications towards how you pursue efforts in mobile ministry. Not that you should forget your applications, nor that your mobile web efforts are worthless. You should do those, but to gain the best reach (and in some works that I have read in the past, the best response rates for your efforts), text messaging should be a signifying part of your planning.

“But, Antoine. If we do text, then we miss that face-to-face connection. And if we only see their heads down, then how will we know that the message reached them?” Always valid questions, however, these are borne in a sense of you not having control over the message’s end point. If you are fostering culture appropriate communication patterns, or at the worst adjusting to the changes in communication streams across economies and age groups, then this won’t be the problem as you will be able to get the feedback you desire, the face-to-face moments will happen. We are designed to connect to one another, anything that increases the friction to do so (yes, even forced meetings in small groups and social events) will degrade any ability to connect. SMS is such that it offers so little friction, that it flat out works. Add to that how cheap it is for most folks, and you have the activities which broker this report.

Take a look at the companies we list for SMS services, some are platforms, others allow you to build your own solution. Yes, it might take some more work, butch attention, until video (via MMS and web) becomes more normal than not, this is the route towards making your efforts count in less than 160 characters.

 

BibleTech Presentation – Mobile Ministry: Definition, Contexts, And State Of The Body

Saturday, March 26th, 2011

QR CodeUnfortunately, funds and life have prevented MMM from being present for this year’s BibleTech Conference. There is always a lot of interaction, fellowship, and techie talk that happens, and I’m totally sure that by this point, I’d be recharging my mobile for the 2nd time in the day.

Mobile Ministry: Definition, Contexts, And State Of The Body happens to be a timely topic seeing that now many ministers and ministries are seeing that mobile is where they need to be and asking questions of where in ministry mobile fits. This talk recenters the context of mobile around the term mobile ministry, and then points to where mobile has been demonstrated in a ministry context.

In some respects, this presentation answers why MMM was started in the first place (to answer the question of what the Body is doing in mobile). And as such, gives the focuses to mobile ministry areas which might have been addressed, but maybe not as strongly because of the youth of this tool/channel.

View the Presetation (or scan/share the QR Code). The meat is in the notes (viewable by toggling the “slide view” (Ø) symbol at the bottom right of the screen). Per our usual BibleTech presentations, the information in the presentation is designed for consumption and mobile interaction.

(Abbreviated) Live Presentation via Qik

Blame a few folks for thinking that it was possible, and me for taking it further than my hardware and experiments usually go. But here’s an attempt to do this presentation via Qik. You can see the live presentation below, or visit http://qik.com/arjwright and then click on the video noted Live. If you have the Qik app, you should be able to interact with the video stream there.

This is being done over a Wi-Fi connection and using the lower-resolution front-camera of my Nokia N97. I’ll do what I can to keep this interactive, but I’m also really, really experimenting here. If it fails, BibleTech again gives some lessons learned and applied.

As for the rest of BibleTech, catch it on Twitter (#bibletech) and we can chat about what’s next in mobiles for Bible studies and other ministry endeavors along the way.

 

Retweets of the Week (Jan 30 – Feb 5)

Sunday, February 6th, 2011

Once again our Retweets of the Week feature highlighting some of the items we’ve retweeted in the past week.

If you’ve got something you deem worth sharing, be sure to point it out to us (@mobileminmag) or use the #mobminhashtag if its directly related to mobile ministry efforts.

 

Difference Between Smartphones and Feature Phones

Monday, January 17th, 2011

N97 vs N8 Dial Screens - Share on OviIn a lead-up to reading the Tomi Ahonen Phone Book that we told you would be a good holiday wad/gift, also check out one of the latest posts at his site Communities Dominate Brands where he speaks about the differences between smartphones and feature phones. Here’s a snippet:

The PC industry sells a little over 300 million PCs this year. That includes all desktops, laptops, notebooks, netbooks and the tablet PCs like the iPad and Kindle. A little over 300 million sold per year. Similarly television sets sell in that scale, about 300 million per year. And DVD players sell in the 250 million range annually. These are the global giants in electronics, the others of our favorite gadgets, like videogaming consoles or digital cameras or MP3 players like the iPod, sell in far smaller numbers per year. Except for one gadget. The mobile phone. The world sees sales of 1.37 Billion mobile phones sold in just this past year! You see why I am so excited about this industry? Just smartphones alone will sell very close to 300 million units this year, and yes, next year more smartphones will be sold than all types of personal computers, combined.

Read the rest at Communities Dominate Brands.

We are going to work on doing a better job of addressing the difference in approaches when these two types of mobile devices are considered. Take for example the recent changes to the Mobile Bible Apps page, smartphones have gotten a good bit of attention, but there’s much more that can and should be done for feature phones (Java/Non-Smartphones). Stay tuned.

 

7 Bits of Holiday Reading

Tuesday, December 21st, 2010

Dickens, The Life of Our Lord - image via Open LibraryFor as much as the holiday is great for family and rest, its also a good time to get some reading in. Here are a few items that have come in recently which might make for engaging reading and reflecting on a new or old mobile reading device:

Do you have some interesting reads that you will be engaging in this holiday season? Share yours in the comments or via Twitter.

 

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